arbat: (Default)
[personal profile] arbat

Paul Krugman decided that he had acquired just the reputation one needs to write a post on moralities. Here is a quote:

One side of American politics considers the modern welfare state — a private-enterprise economy, but one in which society’s winners are taxed to pay for a social safety net — morally superior to the capitalism red in tooth and claw we had before the New Deal. It’s only right, this side believes, for the affluent to help the less fortunate.

The other side believes that people have a right to keep what they earn, and that taxing them to support others, no matter how needy, amounts to theft. That’s what lies behind the modern right’s fondness for violent rhetoric: many activists on the right really do see taxes and regulation as tyrannical impositions on their liberty.
Now, one part of this statement is a lie. This is a standard liberal lie (apparently, repeating it leaves conscience of a liberal undisturbed). They pretend that the difference between us and them is that they think "it’s only right for the affluent to help the less fortunate", and we think that there should be no help.

True truth, of course, is - we do believe that people should help each other. Which is why we do help. On our own, and from our own pockets. Liberals help from someone else's.

The difference is not that they are willing to help others and we are not. The difference is, - they believe they have the right to choose charitable cause for me, and then force me to contribute to it.

The difference is they believe that they are so much better people than me, that they are entitled more than me, - to decide what to do with the fruits of my labor.

P.S. Don't even start with "liberals contribute their own money too". When one wants to contribute his own money, one does not need government's help to do that. The only purpose of creating the government run charity is to force contributions from other people.

Date: 2011-01-19 09:23 (UTC)
From: [identity profile] larvatus.livejournal.com
Sorry, I like to stick to the subject. Are you ready to acknowledge the difference between a social safety net and sporadically available benefits from voluntary charities?

Date: 2011-01-19 12:37 (UTC)
From: [identity profile] arbat.livejournal.com
Sure. Under your definition, "safety net" is a fraudulent promise from the government based on the standard Ponzi scheme, that is currently going bankrupt in most countries, - depending on how steep is the curve. Fraud is twofold: first, it is as I mentioned, a Ponzi scheme. Second, the promise is given in the name of yet unborn "next generations" that have no legal obligation to stick to it. So, they will abandon it. With private Ponzies there is a chance that the government will help recover at least something. With your "safety net" there is nobody to help with the recovery, - since it will be the government that is going to say "oooops, no more money".

"Sporadically available", as you mentioned, does not actually mean that it its availability changes from time to time. For some reason, as you admitted, you use it just a term of slander when you talk about "non-government charities". These are voluntary, usually are honest enterprises, historically, those are mainly very stable, - like Salvation Army.

I see many differences.


Now, can we get to my question? And please, do not pretend I am not sticking to the subject, - my question was to clarify what exactly are the features of the "safety net" you are selling.

If it turns out that Bismark's social security was NOT continuously run till today, - then your claim of "endured for 130 years" would be false advertisement.

And the trust for the system that you based on that claim, - would be unsubstantiated.

So... did it "endure"?

Date: 2011-01-20 03:19 (UTC)
From: [identity profile] larvatus.livejournal.com
The promise of social security is vested in a political process that enables each citizen to elect representatives authorized to vote on the tax policies and the ensuing entitlements. No such opportunity is available to contributors to private charities meant to benefit arbitrarily designated individuals and classes. If Charles Ponzi had the authority to levy taxes and print money, your slander of U.S. Social Security might have made some sense. Since he didn’t, it doesn’t. As for its enduring nature, I shall have no complaints as long as my widowed mother continues to collect her death benefits.

Date: 2011-01-20 04:06 (UTC)
From: [identity profile] arbat.livejournal.com
"The promise of social security is vested in a political process that enables each citizen"

Or, in plain English, - if the next generation votes to close the shop, - they close the shop.

Now, can you explain to me, - if the next generations sees that they are about to inherit a scheme that is waaaaay in debt, nearly bankrupt and impossible to save... why exactly would they want to participate?

Because of the "promise" that next generation will be even greater fools?

This is exactly how all financial bubbles work, - and they have only one end. At some point, some "next generation" say... "thanks, but we are not going to participate". Music stops, - and those who were stupid enough to buy in the latest, - are left without chairs.

"No such opportunity is available to contributors to private charities"

He-he-he. Yep. This is why private charities sometimes exists for centuries on end.

"If Charles Ponzi had the authority to levy taxes and print money"

Ability to FORCE participation in the Ponzi scheme only prolongs the agony, - but it can't make it solvent. It is as impossible as perpetuum mobile. In order to work, it needs an infinite supply of "greater fools". And, sorry, but ours is finite. Even if we are all ordered and forced to play "greater fools".

"As for its enduring nature, I shall have no complaints as long as..."

Yeah, I know. As long as Mr. Ponzi makes payments.

By the way, what happened to Bismark's program? You used him in order to illustrate enduring nature of state charities. You claimed, on the basis of it, - 130 years of endurance.

I think, you should tell me of its fate.

I can't wait to learn about its 130 year long history of continuous, guaranteed payments.

P.S. By the way, if you do want to know about some charity that runs continuously for 130 years, the name is "American Red Cross". Международная ассоциация Красного Креста работает почти 150 лет. Армии Спасения больше 140. Старейшей благотворительной организации США более 350 лет. Но это далеко не единственные организации. Всегда существовало огромное количество самых разнообразных благотворителей, - которые кормили, одевали, строили университеты, школы, больницы, библиотеки, и все прочее.




Date: 2011-01-20 07:58 (UTC)
From: [identity profile] larvatus.livejournal.com
Start with the observation that people buy insurance in droves despite understanding that insuring themselves would cost them way less. One notable feature of social security is its historical persistence and expansion giving the lie to libertarian mouthpieces ranging from randroid halfwits to nozickian eggheads. When push comes to shove, not even the most stalwart proponents of the minimal state are willing to give the boot to their nanas. “I don’t respect the law; I have total irreverence for anything concerned with society except that which makes the roads safer, the beer stronger, the food cheaper, and old men and women warmer in the winter, and happier in the summer.” © 1960 Brendan Behan

On the history of Bismarck’s legacy, see Gaston Rimlinger’s article referenced above.
Edited Date: 2011-01-20 08:00 (UTC)

Date: 2011-01-20 12:31 (UTC)
From: [identity profile] arbat.livejournal.com
"Start with the observation that people buy insurance in droves despite understanding that insuring themselves would cost them way less."

"Insuring themselves" - this is nonsense. Insurance, by definition, requires more than 1 participant. Much more.

"One notable feature of social security is its historical persistence and expansion"

Well, indubitably, you were saying the same about investing in dotcoms in 1999, and about investing in real estate in 2006, and about... (well, get yourself a book on bubbles and continue).

Now, let's get back to Bismark and his social security. Whatever happened to that notable enterprise? Your claim about 130 years of endurance was based on it. I imagine, it is still persistently expanding?

Tell me. Do not refer me to some other articles, - just confirm that, yes, Bismark's security is still up and running.


Date: 2011-01-20 15:52 (UTC)
From: [identity profile] larvatus.livejournal.com
"Insuring themselves" - this is nonsense. Insurance, by definition, requires more than 1 participant. Much more.

Please look here (http://www.siia.org/).

Tell me. Do not refer me to some other articles, - just confirm that, yes, Bismark's security is still up and running.

Please consult this exchange (http://nfs.sparknotes.com/hamlet/page_180.html), and a German illustration therefor (http://digicoll.library.wisc.edu/cgi-bin/Arts/Arts-idx?type=turn&id=Arts.mretzsch1&entity=Arts.mretzsch1.p0027&isize=L&title=Gallerie%20zu%20Shakspeare's%20[sic]%20dramatischen%20Werken/Retzsch's%20outlines%20to%20Shakspeare....,%20p.%20Plate%207).

Date: 2011-01-21 01:29 (UTC)
From: [identity profile] arbat.livejournal.com
Well, the first link, - sorry, buddy, you just did not understand what it is about. This is not "people insuring themselves". This is "companies who decide to run their own insurance plans for their employees".

Now, in view of this, your statement, - "people buy insurance in droves despite understanding that insuring themselves..." - is sort of meaningless. Some companies decide that it is cheaper to run their own insurance. Some decide it is better to buy ready product. Just like with anything else. Your company needs cars? It can build them, or it can buy them. You company needs cafeteria? It can get its own, or it can contract some catering company. You company needs payroll, legal, tax services, - some companies have their own departments, some buy services from specialized firms.

Hope, this helps.

Now, about Bismark. As far as I understood your commentary, - I can not confirm that social security scheme that Bismark created, has been running continuously since. Well, duh!

Of course, this means that your claim about "130 years of endurance" was entirely fraudulent. No government run "safety net" existed that long. What did exist, - was a Utopian DREAM of such a system.

Frankly, it would have been more honest of you to just openly admit that.

Good luck.


Date: 2011-01-21 07:27 (UTC)
From: [identity profile] larvatus.livejournal.com
You persist in misunderstanding the concept of self-insurance, which nowise depends on group participation. You also fail to distinguish civil dialogue from judicial cross-examination. I am not a witness required to submit to your high-handed demands. I have provided an answer to your historical inquiry by citing a scholarly publication. No rule of “honesty” requires me to digest it for your consumption.

Date: 2011-01-21 12:20 (UTC)
From: [identity profile] arbat.livejournal.com

You did not answer my question. My question was quite simple. Can you confirm that Bismarck's Social Security has been running continuously for 130 years.

Civil dialogue, - the way I understand the term, means that you either (a) say "yes, it has been", - and produce testimony to that matter. Or you (b) admit that you made a mistake and claimed an evidence of "130 endurance" where there was none.

"No rule of “honesty” requires me to digest it for your consumption."

Oh, yes, there is. If you ask me to spend time reading an article, - honesty does require that you confirm first that this article does contain the validation of your statement.

If it does not, - it means that you just want me to waste my time reading a totally irrelevant piece of text. And that would mean - you are trolling.


Date: 2011-01-21 18:02 (UTC)
From: [identity profile] larvatus.livejournal.com
The article referenced above documents the growth and expansion of German state care for citizens disabled from work by age and invalidity, since its inception in 1881 and institution in 1889, stressing its “transparent relationship between benefits and contribution” and commending it for “enabl[ing] pensioners to share in the growth of the economy”, even as it acknowledges “an all-out struggle to save the social insurance system from total collapse during the 1923 run-away inflation” and recalls that “it was the financing of unemployment insurance which in 1930 triggered the collapse of the great right-left political coalition that had governed the Weimar State”.

Date: 2011-01-22 02:19 (UTC)
From: [identity profile] arbat.livejournal.com

In other words, this article does NOT confirm that Bismarck's scheme has been running continuously for 130 years.

Do you want to make another attempt to substantiate your claim about "130 years of endurance", or are you ready to admit that you... well... let's call it "spoken inartfully"?

Date: 2011-01-22 07:03 (UTC)
From: [identity profile] larvatus.livejournal.com
Very well. I apologize for having failed to clarify that my characterization of social security “as conceived and executed by Otto von Bismarck” was meant not to refer to the special and uncharacteristic case of Germany, but to credit the origins of the modern welfare state to its arch-conservative founding father. I continue to maintain that Bismarck’s innovation put a permanent end to laissez-faire capitalism as a viable political option for developed societies.

Date: 2011-01-22 12:09 (UTC)
From: [identity profile] arbat.livejournal.com

No, excuse me, this is not what I was talking about. I have no issue with you proclaiming Bismark the father of modern welfare state, or the origin of the arch-liberal world order, or grandmother of Russian NAVY, or [choose any other term of endearment you wish here]. Can't care less.

You made specific claim - that you consider government-run charities to be a "safety net" (as opposed to "sporadical" private ones) based on 130 years of endurance. And you mentioned Bismarck scheme - as a supporting evidence to THAT claim.

I want you to admit that (A) Bismark can not be used as supporting evidence, since his scheme did not last and (B) that you have no facts to prove the endurance of government "safety nets".

Date: 2011-01-22 13:23 (UTC)
From: [identity profile] larvatus.livejournal.com
Actually, based on evidence at hand, I am making the claim that Bismarck’s legacy of social security did last both in his homeland and outside of its boundaries, and continues to do so, notwithstanding its involvement in two crises of legitimacy of the German state. As a matter of fact, it has continually endured and expanded for three quarters of a century to date in these United States.

I note your ongoing failure to “refuse to sign up for this social security business (http://arbat.livejournal.com/510061.html?thread=25349997#t25349997)”, despite your own prognostication of its imminent demise (http://arbat.livejournal.com/510061.html). The system must be doing something to ensure its survival, even by your own lights.
Edited Date: 2011-01-22 13:31 (UTC)

Date: 2011-01-24 00:58 (UTC)
From: [identity profile] arbat.livejournal.com

All your evidence shows that people have been continuously DREAMING about creating a reliable safety net. Dreaming about something does not bring it into existence. You may claim that A DREAM of a government-run safety net endured for 130 years.

You, however, started with something very different. You claimed that government-run social security is a "safety net", and you based this qualification on its endurance.

Not on endurance of a DREAM, but on endurance of an actual institution.

Now. We both know that no social security institution lasted for long (not compared to the major private charities, anyway). Definitely not one of them endured for 130 years, - and it was dishonest of you to claim so.

So... what's your best example? Care to name actual institution that has a good track record and does not look like it is ready to go belly up?

Date: 2011-01-24 06:39 (UTC)
From: [identity profile] larvatus.livejournal.com
There is nothing dreamlike about the examples of German and American social security systems cited above. Please contact your ophthalmologist with all concerns about this or that looking like it is ready to go belly up.

Propounding “that no social security institution lasted for long (not compared to the major private charities, anyway)” as evidence of their instability or impermanence. bespeaks knowing fuck-all about the history of social security institutions emerging from a long tradition of private charities in the first instance. You might as well disparage number 1 for its moral failure to measure up to number 2.
Edited Date: 2011-01-24 09:36 (UTC)

Date: 2011-01-24 12:18 (UTC)
From: [identity profile] arbat.livejournal.com
Again, allow me reiterate: YOU made a certain claim about 130 years of endurance. When I asked for evidence, you gave none. Instead, you tried to do a switch, - you tried to pretend that the fact the people were DREAMING about social securities schemes for 130 years proves your statement. It does not.

Now, either you have an example of a social security scheme that has good track record, and looks like it will not go down in the foreseeable time, - or you do not.

If you do, please, give me THE BEST example you have.

If you do not than you have no basis to claim that those government-run schemes are "safety nets". And you are trying to sell me a standard dream-based Ponzi scheme, claiming that your scheme is different from all others.

Date: 2011-01-24 15:11 (UTC)
From: [identity profile] larvatus.livejournal.com
Please refer to the examples of German and American social security systems repeatedly cited above. Now would be a good time to read Gaston Rimlinger’s article (http://www.jstor.org/pss/144794). If you lack free access to JSTOR, I will be happy to email you a PDF copy. Once again, I am discussing objective factual records only. What “looks like it will not go down in the foreseeable time” is by definition subjective.

Date: 2011-01-25 00:45 (UTC)
From: [identity profile] arbat.livejournal.com

So, basically, you decision is to avoid pointing to any specific example. And to tell me to go looking on my own.

Out of my list of trolling techniques you have so far deployed 1, 2 and 4.

I do not like it. I feel that any person who posted that many comments in my journal is under certain moral obligation to answer one very simple question of mine.

So, either (A) provide me with The BEST example of government-run "safety net" that would have good track record and would not look like it is about to crash (no need to write long comment, - the name of the specific program will do,) - or (B) admit that you have no example that would look sufficiently convincing.


Date: 2011-01-25 01:22 (UTC)
From: [identity profile] arbat.livejournal.com
OASDI was instituted barely 75 years ago.

As of this moment, it has no assets whatsoever, - every dollar that was ever placed into it, was immediately spent by the government. The only thing in there are pieces of paper that promise that the government will return the money when they will be needed, - from the then current taxes.

In other words, it exists as a pure, standard Ponzi scheme, making payments out of current contributions. This kind of scheme exists while new contributions EXCEED obligations. When it is no longer so, it has to borrow money - while people still hope for a miracle, - and when there is nobody left to borrow from, - it collapses.

Right now we are entering the last, borrowing stage. Since the percentage of the population that contribute is shrinking, and percentage of the poplation who withdraw grows - there is no any reason to believe that deficit of the system will ever change.

And this means, - this scheme is doomed.

Funny. That was you BEST example.

Date: 2011-01-26 02:56 (UTC)
From: [identity profile] larvatus.livejournal.com
Please spare me your Chicken Little concerns. My country borrows money right and left. I lose much less sleep over its borrowing money from our descendants, than I do over the selling of U.S. bonds to the present day Chinese. Either discuss the historical record, or have the decency to admit that reasonable men can differ in their calculations of risk and expectations of reward.

Date: 2011-01-26 03:07 (UTC)
From: [identity profile] arbat.livejournal.com

I did discuss historical record: just now US President Obama said that we must strengthen Social Security.

If it were solvent, there would have been no need to strengthen it, right?

As it is, it has ZERO assets. And it relies completely on willingness of the next generation to lose more, and more, and more money on the same scheme.

Date: 2011-01-26 03:12 (UTC)
From: [identity profile] larvatus.livejournal.com
Likewise, the U.S. Treasury relies completely on the willingness of the Chinese to buy and hold nearly a trillion dollars’ worth of its bonds. Big Hairy Fucking Deal.

(no subject)

From: [identity profile] arbat.livejournal.com - Date: 2011-01-26 04:18 (UTC) - Expand

(no subject)

From: [identity profile] larvatus.livejournal.com - Date: 2011-01-26 04:33 (UTC) - Expand

(no subject)

From: [identity profile] arbat.livejournal.com - Date: 2011-01-26 04:48 (UTC) - Expand

(no subject)

From: [identity profile] larvatus.livejournal.com - Date: 2011-01-26 04:51 (UTC) - Expand

(no subject)

From: [identity profile] arbat.livejournal.com - Date: 2011-01-26 04:58 (UTC) - Expand

(no subject)

From: [identity profile] larvatus.livejournal.com - Date: 2011-01-26 04:59 (UTC) - Expand

May 2026

S M T W T F S
     12
3456789
10111213141516
17181920212223
2425 2627282930
31      

Most Popular Tags

Style Credit

Expand Cut Tags

No cut tags
Page generated 2026-06-01 07:00
Powered by Dreamwidth Studios